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League One
Alloa Athletic logo Alloa Athletic
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
East Kilbride logo East Kilbride

Match Analysis

Alloa Athletic East Kilbride
Alloa Athletic D W W W W L
East Kilbride L W L W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Alloa Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Peterhead 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 25, 26 Home Motherwell U21 3 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Queen of the South 0 - 2 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Montrose 3 - 0 Win
Aug 11, 26 Home Stranraer 2 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Hamilton Academical 1 - 0 Loss

East Kilbride Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Ross County 4 - 0 Loss
Aug 25, 26 Away Cowdenbeath 1 - 3 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Montrose 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Cove Rangers 3 - 0 Win
Aug 11, 26 Home Kilmarnock II 5 - 3 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Airdrie United 1 - 1 Draw

League One Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 East Kilbride 4 2 1 1 9 5 +4 7
4 Alloa Athletic 4 2 1 1 5 1 +4 7

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.56% likelihood that both Alloa Athletic and East Kilbride will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Alloa Athletic to win
This prediction indicates that Alloa Athletic has a 42.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.80 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League One

Queen of the South vs Airdrie United 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › East Fife vs Ross County 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Peterhead vs Montrose 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. ›