Arema FC vs Bhayangkara FC Saturday 10th October 2026 11:30 AM football predictions.

Liga 1

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Arema FC View team ›

Oct. 10, 2026 3 days, 20 hours ago

2 – 2

Full Time

Bhayangkara FC View team ›

Match Analysis

Arema FC Bhayangkara FC

Arema FC D D W W W W

Bhayangkara FC W D D W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, Bhayangkara FC has had the upper hand in games against Arema FC, but the model sees this upcoming match differently. Despite this head-to-head trend, the model predicts a home win for Arema FC with a 44% probability, noting Arema's stronger recent form compared to Bhayangkara's moderate form. The market odds suggest a closer contest, but the model is somewhat more confident in Arema’s chances at home. Additionally, the model expects both teams to score and for the match to feature more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning closely with the market's view on these outcomes.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bhayangkara FC	Arema FC	2 - 1	March 10, 2026
Arema FC	Bhayangkara FC	2 - 1	August 22, 2025
Arema FC	Bhayangkara FC	0 - 0	March 6, 2024
Bhayangkara FC	Arema FC	0 - 2	September 1, 2023
Arema FC	Bhayangkara FC	0 - 3	April 14, 2023
Bhayangkara FC	Arema FC	1 - 0	December 23, 2022

Arema FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 18, 26	Home	Persik Kediri	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Away	PSM Makassar	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 4, 26	Home	Adhyaksa	4 - 0	Win
May 22, 26	Home	PSIM Yogyakarta	3 - 1	Win
May 15, 26	Away	PSBS Biak Numfor	2 - 5	Win
May 9, 26	Home	PSM Makassar	3 - 0	Win

Bhayangkara FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Adhyaksa	2 - 0	Win
Sep 11, 26	Away	Dewa United	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Home	Persebaya Surabaya	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	PSBS Biak Numfor	7 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Bali United	4 - 1	Loss
May 11, 26	Home	Persepam Madura Utd	3 - 1	Win

Liga 1 Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Arema FC	3	1	2	0	8	4	+4	5
9	Bhayangkara FC	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.25% likelihood that both Arema FC and Bhayangkara FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Arema FC to win

This prediction indicates that Arema FC has a 43.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.57 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Arema FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Bhayangkara FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Liga 1 Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Arema FC to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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