Arezzo vs Cremonese Saturday 10th October 2026 04:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Oct. 10, 2026 3 days, 10 hours ago
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Match Analysis

Arezzo Cremonese
Arezzo L L W L L W
Cremonese W W D D W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for Cremonese with a 40% probability. Cremonese has a modest quality edge and has shown strong recent form, while Arezzo has had poor recent form. Additionally, Cremonese has dominated recent meetings between the two teams, despite Arezzo having a rest advantage. The market odds suggest a close contest, but the model is slightly more confident in Cremonese’s chances than the odds imply.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Cremonese Arezzo 4 - 0 September 30, 2020
Arezzo Cremonese 0 - 1 February 26, 2017
Cremonese Arezzo 3 - 2 October 9, 2016

Arezzo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 27, 26 Away Lazio 2 - 0 Loss
Sep 20, 26 Home Sudtirol 1 - 4 Loss
Sep 11, 26 Away Empoli 0 - 1 Win
Sep 6, 26 Away Verona 5 - 0 Loss
Aug 30, 26 Home Palermo 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away Avellino 1 - 2 Win

Cremonese Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 2, 26 Away Juventus 0 - 1 Win
Sep 26, 26 Away Monza 2 - 3 Win
Sep 19, 26 Home Virtus Entella 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 12, 26 Away Cesena 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 6, 26 Home Padova 3 - 1 Win
Sep 1, 26 Home Parma 0 - 2 Loss

Serie B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6 13 -7 6
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Cremonese to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Cremonese has a 40.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.67 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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