Serie A
Match Analysis
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
D
D
W
W
D
W
Fluminense
W
D
W
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Atletico-MG | 1 - 0 | March 21, 2026 |
| Fluminense | Atletico-MG | 3 - 0 | October 4, 2025 |
| Atletico-MG | Fluminense | 3 - 2 | May 11, 2025 |
| Atletico-MG | Fluminense | 2 - 0 | September 25, 2024 |
| Fluminense | Atletico-MG | 1 - 0 | September 18, 2024 |
| Atletico-MG | Fluminense | 0 - 2 | August 25, 2024 |
Atletico-MG Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Internacional | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | RB Bragantino | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Gremio | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | RB Bragantino | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | remo | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Palmeiras | 1 - 2 | Win |
Fluminense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | remo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Independ. Rivadavia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Palmeiras | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Independ. Rivadavia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Botafogo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Bahia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | +7 | 41 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | +3 | 33 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.02% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Atletico-MG to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Atletico-MG has a 37.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.04 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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