Serie A
Match Analysis
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
W
D
W
W
L
L
Fluminense
W
D
D
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Atletico Paranaense | 3 - 2 | March 15, 2026 |
| Atletico Paranaense | Fluminense | 1 - 1 | December 1, 2024 |
| Fluminense | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 0 | October 22, 2024 |
| Atletico Paranaense | Fluminense | 2 - 2 | August 27, 2023 |
| Fluminense | Atletico Paranaense | 2 - 0 | April 22, 2023 |
| Atletico Paranaense | Fluminense | 1 - 0 | September 3, 2022 |
Atletico Paranaense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Santos | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Corinthians | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Internacional | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Sao Paulo | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | RB Bragantino | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 9, 26 | Away | Boca Juniors | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Fluminense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Palmeiras | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Independ. Rivadavia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Botafogo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Bahia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Gremio | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | RB Bragantino | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 26 | +5 | 35 |
Predictions
Atletico Paranaense to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico Paranaense has a 42.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.74 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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