Serie A
Match Analysis
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
D
D
W
D
D
L
Cruzeiro
D
W
W
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Vasco DA Gama | 3 - 3 | March 15, 2026 |
| Vasco DA Gama | Cruzeiro | 2 - 0 | September 27, 2025 |
| Cruzeiro | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 0 | April 27, 2025 |
| Cruzeiro | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 1 | September 29, 2024 |
| Vasco DA Gama | Cruzeiro | 0 - 0 | June 16, 2024 |
| Cruzeiro | Vasco DA Gama | 2 - 2 | November 22, 2023 |
Vasco DA Gama Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Olimpia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Bahia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Independiente Medellin | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Mirassol | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Independiente Medellin | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Vitoria | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Cruzeiro Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Flamengo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Mirassol | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Coritiba | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Botafogo | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Internacional | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Gremio | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 33 |
| 18 | Vasco DA Gama | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 22 |
Predictions
Cruzeiro to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Cruzeiro has a 37.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.49 %Most Likely Scorelines
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