Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
W
L
L
L
W
W
San Jose Earthquakes
L
L
L
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | Austin | 5 - 1 | April 23, 2026 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Austin | 2 - 1 | October 19, 2025 |
| Austin | San Jose Earthquakes | 3 - 1 | August 31, 2025 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Austin | 1 - 1 | May 26, 2024 |
| Austin | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 - 3 | April 7, 2024 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Austin | 1 - 1 | October 22, 2023 |
Austin Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Seattle Sounders | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | FC Dallas | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Colorado Rapids | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Houston Dynamo | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Seattle Sounders | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | Sporting JAX | 4 - 0 | Win |
San Jose Earthquakes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | St. Louis City | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | FC Cincinnati | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Orlando City SC | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Club Tijuana | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | San Jose Earthquakes | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 27 | +11 | 33 |
| 28 | Austin | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 17 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.81% likelihood that both Austin and San Jose Earthquakes will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Austin to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Austin has a 37.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.10 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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