Avellino vs Sampdoria Saturday 10th October 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Serie B

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Avellino View team ›

Oct. 9, 2026 4 days, 9 hours ago

4 – 1

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Sampdoria View team ›

Match Analysis

Avellino Sampdoria

Avellino L D W W L L

Sampdoria W L L L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts that Avellino will win with a 36% probability. The model sees a modest quality advantage for Avellino and notes that they have moderate recent form, while Sampdoria have poor recent form. The market odds imply a close contest, but the model is less confident in a home win than the odds suggest. The model also predicts that both teams are likely to score (50% chance) and that the game will likely have fewer than 2.5 goals (48% chance for under).

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sampdoria	Avellino	2 - 1	March 22, 2026
Avellino	Sampdoria	2 - 1	January 10, 2026

Avellino Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Ascoli	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Home	Palermo	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Away	Modena	0 - 1	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	Vicenza Virtus	3 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Home	Arezzo	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 14, 26	Away	Monza	3 - 0	Loss

Sampdoria Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Catanzaro	2 - 1	Win
Sep 13, 26	Away	Mantova	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 7, 26	Away	Palermo	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Juve Stabia	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Away	Cesena	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 17, 26	Away	Cremonese	2 - 0	Loss

Serie B Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Avellino	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
18	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	5	9	-4	4

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Avellino to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Avellino has a 35.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.18 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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