Ayr Utd vs Dumbarton Tuesday 30th June 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Ayr Utd Dumbarton

Ayr Utd W L L L W L

Dumbarton L L L L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ayr Utd	Dumbarton	1 - 1	June 23, 2022
Dumbarton	Ayr Utd	1 - 3	July 18, 2017
Ayr Utd	Dumbarton	2 - 1	March 25, 2017
Dumbarton	Ayr Utd	2 - 2	February 18, 2017
Ayr Utd	Dumbarton	4 - 4	December 24, 2016
Dumbarton	Ayr Utd	0 - 3	October 15, 2016

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Glenafton Athletic	3 - 0	Win
May 1, 26	Home	ST Johnstone	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Airdrie United	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Ross County	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Arbroath	1 - 0	Win
Apr 7, 26	Home	Dunfermline	0 - 3	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Away	Linlithgow Rose	4 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Edinburgh City	5 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	East Kilbride	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Clyde	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Stirling Albion	2 - 1	Win
Apr 4, 26	Away	Stranraer	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
966	Ayr Utd	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
2273	Dumbarton	1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.33% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Ayr Utd has a 56.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.31 %

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply