Alloa Athletic vs Livingston Tuesday 30th June 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Alloa Athletic Livingston

Alloa Athletic W W L W W L

Livingston W L D L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Livingston	Alloa Athletic	2 - 1	June 22, 2024
Livingston	Alloa Athletic	2 - 0	July 4, 2023
Alloa Athletic	Livingston	2 - 1	July 17, 2021
Livingston	Alloa Athletic	2 - 1	October 10, 2020
Livingston	Alloa Athletic	2 - 1	April 8, 2017
Alloa Athletic	Livingston	2 - 2	February 4, 2017

Alloa Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 23, 26	Home	Civil Service Strollers	5 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Stenhousemuir	0 - 1	Win
May 13, 26	Home	Stenhousemuir	1 - 3	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Airdrie United	1 - 2	Win
May 5, 26	Home	Airdrie United	1 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Queen of the South	1 - 4	Loss

Livingston Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Dundee	2 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Kilmarnock	1 - 4	Loss
May 12, 26	Away	Dundee Utd	0 - 0	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Dundee	3 - 0	Loss
May 1, 26	Home	Aberdeen	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	ST Mirren	0 - 2	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
931	Alloa Athletic	1	1	0	0	5	0	+5	3
1032	Livingston	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.33% likelihood that both Alloa Athletic and Livingston will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Livingston to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Livingston has a 35.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.75 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs