Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy Tuesday 30th June 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Sturm Graz LNZ Cherkasy

Sturm Graz W W W D D D

LNZ Cherkasy L W L W D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Home	Mura	5 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Rapid Vienna	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	TSV Hartberg	2 - 4	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Red Bull Salzburg	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	Austria Vienna	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 22, 26	Home	Lask Linz	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	HNK Hajduk Split	0 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Obolon'-Brovar	0 - 1	Win
May 18, 26	Away	Kudrivka	1 - 0	Loss
May 13, 26	Home	SK Poltava	2 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Dynamo Kyiv	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Karpaty	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	LNZ Cherkasy	10	7	1	2	12	6	+6	22
616	Sturm Graz	4	1	3	0	12	7	+5	6

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.48% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Sturm Graz has a 40.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.79 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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