FC Aarau vs St. Gallen II Tuesday 30th June 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FC Aarau St. Gallen II

FC Aarau D D D W W W

St. Gallen II L D L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

FC Aarau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 21, 26	Away	Grasshoppers	1 - 1	Draw
May 18, 26	Home	Grasshoppers	0 - 0	Draw
May 15, 26	Home	Yverdon Sport	2 - 2	Draw
May 11, 26	Away	FC Vaduz	1 - 2	Win
May 8, 26	Home	Stade Nyonnais	5 - 1	Win
May 1, 26	Away	Neuchatel Xamax FC	1 - 3	Win

St. Gallen II Form (Last 5 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz	4 - 1	Loss
Jan 20, 24	Away	Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz	3 - 3	Draw
Jul 29, 23	Away	Stuttgart II	5 - 2	Loss
Jul 8, 23	Away	Augsburg II	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 1, 23	Away	FC Vaduz	4 - 1	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1241	FC Aarau	3	1	0	2	7	9	-2	3
2581	St. Gallen II	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.52% likelihood that both FC Aarau and St. Gallen II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FC Aarau to win

This prediction indicates that FC Aarau has a 48.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.72 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs