Barrow vs Wealdstone Saturday 03rd October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Barrow Wealdstone

Barrow L D W D L D

Wealdstone L W L W D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 15, 26	Away	Solihull Moors	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Away	Worthing	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Home	Sutton Utd	3 - 0	Win
Aug 31, 26	Away	Kidderminster Harriers	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 28, 26	Home	Yeovil Town	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Harrogate Town	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 15, 26	Home	FC Halifax Town	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Away	Boston United	1 - 3	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Kidderminster Harriers	1 - 4	Loss
Aug 31, 26	Away	Sutton Utd	0 - 2	Win
Aug 28, 26	Home	Carlisle	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	Worthing	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
19	Wealdstone	8	2	2	4	10	13	-3	8
21	Barrow	8	1	3	4	10	12	-2	6

This prediction indicates that Barrow has a 40.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.76 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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