Bayer Leverkusen vs Genk Wednesday 29th July 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen Genk

Bayer Leverkusen W W D L W W

Genk L L W L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Genk	Bayer Leverkusen	1 - 1	December 6, 2011
Bayer Leverkusen	Genk	2 - 0	September 28, 2011

Bayer Leverkusen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Kickers Offenbach	1 - 3	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	SF Baumberg	0 - 7	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Hamburger SV	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	VfB Stuttgart	3 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	RB Leipzig	4 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	1.FC Köln	1 - 2	Win

Genk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Away	AZ Alkmaar	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Falkirk	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Away	Motherwell	3 - 4	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Fortuna Sittard	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Home	Waasland-beveren	2 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Eendracht Termien	1 - 5	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.56% likelihood that both Bayer Leverkusen and Genk will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Bayer Leverkusen to win

This prediction indicates that Bayer Leverkusen has a 60.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.08 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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