Maritimo vs Estrela Wednesday 29th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Maritimo Estrela

Maritimo W L L L W W

Estrela W D D L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Maritimo	Estrela	2 - 1	June 11, 2023
Estrela	Maritimo	2 - 1	June 3, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Home	AVS	2 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Academica	0 - 1	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	Chaves	1 - 3	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Penafiel	1 - 0	Loss
May 1, 26	Home	Leixoes	3 - 2	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Benfica B	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Home	Naval 1º de Maio	2 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	SC Braga	2 - 2	Draw
May 11, 26	Home	Famalicao	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Moreirense	3 - 2	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	FC Porto	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	Arouca	1 - 0	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Maritimo has a 38.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.36 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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