Lusitânia Lourosa vs Leça Wednesday 29th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Lusitânia Lourosa Leça

Lusitânia Lourosa L L D W L D

Leça D W L W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Leça	Lusitânia Lourosa	1 - 0	September 12, 2021

Lusitânia Lourosa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Away	Leixoes	2 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Torreense	1 - 2	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Oliveirense	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	Pacos Ferreira	2 - 0	Win
Apr 19, 26	Away	Portimonense	3 - 2	Loss
Apr 13, 26	Home	FC Porto B	1 - 1	Draw

Leça Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 10, 26	Home	Vitória de Sernache	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Bragança	1 - 0	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Rebordosa	2 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Vianense	3 - 4	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Bragança	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Rebordosa	1 - 0	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.74% likelihood that both Lusitânia Lourosa and Leça will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Lusitânia Lourosa to win

This prediction indicates that Lusitânia Lourosa has a 47.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.73 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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