Grosseto vs San Donato Tavarnelle Wednesday 29th July 2026 06:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Grosseto San Donato Tavarnelle

Grosseto W D L W L L

San Donato Tavarnelle L W L L W L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Grosseto	San Donato Tavarnelle	2 - 1	August 6, 2025

Grosseto Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 23, 25	Home	Poggibonsi	3 - 1	Win
Aug 13, 25	Home	Tau Altopascio	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 9, 25	Home	Fiorentina U20	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 6, 25	Home	San Donato Tavarnelle	2 - 1	Win
Jul 24, 25	Home	Fiorentina	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 5, 24	Home	Fiorentina	2 - 7	Loss

San Donato Tavarnelle Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 6, 25	Away	Grosseto	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 23, 23	Home	Fiorenzuola	1 - 0	Win
Apr 15, 23	Away	Imolese	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 6, 23	Home	Cesena	1 - 6	Loss
Apr 1, 23	Away	Montevarchi Calcio	1 - 3	Win
Mar 26, 23	Home	Gubbio	1 - 2	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.8% likelihood that both Grosseto and San Donato Tavarnelle will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Grosseto to win

This prediction indicates that Grosseto has a 45.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.78 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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