Oviedo vs Ponferradina Wednesday 29th July 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Oviedo Ponferradina

Oviedo L L L D L L

Ponferradina L D W D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Oviedo	Ponferradina	1 - 1	August 5, 2023
Oviedo	Ponferradina	3 - 2	April 30, 2023
Ponferradina	Oviedo	1 - 1	November 19, 2022
Oviedo	Ponferradina	2 - 0	December 31, 2021
Ponferradina	Oviedo	1 - 2	October 24, 2021
Ponferradina	Oviedo	1 - 0	August 7, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Mallorca	3 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Alaves	0 - 1	Loss
May 14, 26	Away	Real Madrid	2 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Getafe	0 - 0	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Real Betis	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Elche	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Away	Celta de Vigo II	4 - 1	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Celta de Vigo II	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Away	Atlético Madrid II	0 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Atlético Madrid II	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Athletic Club II	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Arenteiro	0 - 1	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.99% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Oviedo has a 50.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.07 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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