Benevento vs Cesena Saturday 10th October 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Serie B

View league ›

Benevento View team ›

Oct. 10, 2026 3 days, 15 hours ago

2 – 0

Full Time

Cesena View team ›

Match Analysis

Benevento Cesena

Benevento L W W L D L

Cesena D D D W D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Benevento and Cesena both have moderate recent form, but Benevento also carries a clear quality gap in their favor, and they have shown strong attacking form recently. On the other side, Cesena come in with a notable rest advantage and have created significantly more shooting chances recently. The model predicts a home win with a 50% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds imply. The model also suggests that both teams are likely to score and that there will be more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals in the match, aligning closely with the market odds for these outcomes.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cesena	Benevento	4 - 1	April 25, 2017
Benevento	Cesena	2 - 1	December 5, 2016

Benevento Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 2, 26	Away	Frosinone	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Away	Carrarese	0 - 1	Win
Sep 11, 26	Home	Verona	3 - 1	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Ascoli	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Home	Sudtirol	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Home	Modena	1 - 2	Loss

Cesena Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 18, 26	Away	Juve Stabia	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	Cremonese	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Home	Mantova	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Virtus Entella	1 - 2	Win
Aug 23, 26	Home	Sampdoria	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 17, 26	Away	Sassuolo	3 - 0	Loss

Serie B Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Cesena	5	1	4	0	7	6	+1	7
9	Benevento	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.53% likelihood that both Benevento and Cesena will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Benevento to win

This prediction indicates that Benevento has a 49.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.91 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Odds Comparison

Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed