Boston United vs Southend Saturday 10th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Boston United logo Boston United View team ›
Oct. 10, 2026 3 days, 14 hours ago
1 – 2
Full Time
Southend logo Southend View team ›

New signings: Ephrahim Yeboah joined on loan Southend from Bristol City on 25 Sep; Finley Woodham joined on loan Southend from Charlton on 22 Sep. All transfers

Match Analysis

Boston United Southend
Boston United L D L W D L
Southend W D L W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Boston United are coming into the match with poor recent form, while Southend arrive in strong form and have a clear quality gap in their favor. Despite recent meetings often ending level, Southend's strong attacking recent performance plays into their favor. The model predicts a 53% chance of an away win, which is notably higher than what the current market odds suggest. The model also leans toward both teams scoring and the match having more than 1.5 goals, seeing these as strong possibilities.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Boston United Southend 3 - 3 January 24, 2026
Southend Boston United 1 - 1 September 13, 2025
Boston United Southend 3 - 0 March 25, 2025
Southend Boston United 2 - 0 August 20, 2024

Boston United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 3, 26 Away Yeovil Town 6 - 0 Loss
Sep 29, 26 Away FC Halifax Town 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 26, 26 Home AFC Fylde 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 19, 26 Away Forest Green 1 - 3 Win
Sep 15, 26 Home Woking 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 12, 26 Home Wealdstone 1 - 3 Loss

Southend Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 3, 26 Home AFC Fylde 3 - 1 Win
Sep 30, 26 Away Eastleigh 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 26, 26 Home Barrow 2 - 4 Loss
Sep 19, 26 Away Gateshead 1 - 6 Win
Sep 15, 26 Home Tamworth 3 - 1 Win
Sep 12, 26 Away Carlisle 2 - 2 Draw

National League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Southend 12 7 3 2 29 18 +11 24
20 Boston United 12 3 3 6 14 21 -7 12

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.0% likelihood that both Boston United and Southend will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Southend to win
This prediction indicates that Southend has a 52.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.44 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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