Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor Saturday 10th October 2026 07:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Oct. 11, 2026 2 days, 12 hours ago
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Match Analysis

Brinje-Grosuplje Maribor
Brinje-Grosuplje W L L W L L
Maribor D D W D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for Maribor with a 60% probability, suggesting the team is favored due to a clear quality gap in their favor, despite both sides showing moderate recent form. The market odds also lean toward Maribor, indicating similar confidence in an away win. Additionally, the model sees a 52% chance that both teams will score and a 55% chance for over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals, which aligns with the idea of a competitive match where Maribor's edge may not fully suppress Brinje-Grosuplje's attacking potential, especially considering Brinje-Grosuplje's defensive struggles. The market odds for over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals are slightly less confident than the model's prediction, suggesting the model expects a bit more goal action than what is currently priced in.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Maribor Brinje-Grosuplje 3 - 0 July 25, 2026

Brinje-Grosuplje Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 20, 26 Home Radomlje 2 - 1 Win
Sep 11, 26 Home Nafta 1 - 2 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Away Olimpija Ljubljana 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 30, 26 Home Celje 4 - 1 Win
Aug 21, 26 Away Aluminij 4 - 2 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Home Mura 1 - 2 Loss

Maribor Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 28, 26 Home HNK Gorica 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 19, 26 Home Aluminij 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 13, 26 Away Radomlje 0 - 3 Win
Sep 6, 26 Home Mura 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 30, 26 Away Nafta 2 - 3 Win
Aug 23, 26 Home Bravo 3 - 1 Win

1. SNL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 19 8 +11 20
8 Brinje-Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 14 18 -4 11

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.94% likelihood that both Brinje-Grosuplje and Maribor will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Maribor to win
This prediction indicates that Maribor has a 59.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.15 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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