Catanzaro vs Mantova Saturday 10th October 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Serie B

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Catanzaro View team ›

Oct. 11, 2026 2 days, 15 hours ago

1 – 3

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Mantova View team ›

Match Analysis

Catanzaro Mantova

Catanzaro L W L L L D

Mantova D W D W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, Catanzaro has had the upper hand in matches between these two teams. However, despite this head-to-head advantage, the model predicts a home win with a 40% probability, noting that Catanzaro is currently in poor form while Mantova is performing well. The market odds imply slightly more confidence in a home victory than the model does. Additionally, the model sees a strong chance (59%) that both teams will score, aligning with the even shot volume seen recently, and also leans towards more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals being scored (55% for both), which the market odds also support.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Catanzaro	Mantova	2 - 0	February 14, 2026
Mantova	Catanzaro	1 - 3	October 29, 2025
Mantova	Catanzaro	0 - 0	May 13, 2025
Catanzaro	Mantova	2 - 2	November 23, 2024

Catanzaro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Sampdoria	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Home	Carrarese	1 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Sudtirol	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Away	Pisa	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 21, 26	Away	Vicenza Virtus	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Sudtirol	2 - 2	Draw

Mantova Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Home	Pisa	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Home	Sampdoria	2 - 0	Win
Sep 6, 26	Away	Cesena	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 3, 26	Home	Palermo	5 - 2	Win
Aug 30, 26	Home	Empoli	3 - 1	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Carrarese	1 - 2	Win

Serie B Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10	5	+5	11
19	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5	9	-4	3

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.92% likelihood that both Catanzaro and Mantova will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Catanzaro or Mantova to win

This prediction indicates that Catanzaro has a 40.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.23 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Catanzaro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Mantova Form (Last 6 Matches)

Serie B Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Catanzaro or Mantova to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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