Celje vs Aluminij Saturday 10th October 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

1. SNL

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Celje View team ›

Oct. 10, 2026 3 days, 12 hours ago

1 – 0

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Aluminij View team ›

Match Analysis

Celje Aluminij

Celje D L L L W L

Aluminij D D W D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, Celje has had the upper hand in matches between these two teams, often producing games full of goals. Despite Celje's recent struggles in form, they are viewed as the clearer quality side and also have the benefit of extra rest before this match. The model predicts a home win with a 60% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a strong chance of both teams scoring and plenty of goals overall, aligning with the recent trend of high-scoring encounters between these sides.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Aluminij	Celje	0 - 2	September 2, 2026
Celje	Aluminij	5 - 0	April 26, 2026
Aluminij	Celje	2 - 1	March 5, 2026
Celje	Aluminij	2 - 1	November 1, 2025
Aluminij	Celje	2 - 3	August 17, 2025
Celje	Aluminij	2 - 2	March 30, 2024

Celje Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Away	Mura	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 16, 26	Away	Bayer Leverkusen	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Away	Bravo	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Home	Koper	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 2, 26	Away	Aluminij	0 - 2	Win
Aug 30, 26	Away	Brinje-Grosuplje	4 - 1	Loss

Aluminij Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 2, 26	Home	NK Varazdin	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 19, 26	Away	Maribor	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Away	Mura	1 - 6	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Bravo	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 2, 26	Home	Celje	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Away	Koper	0 - 1	Win

1. SNL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Aluminij	10	4	4	2	17	10	+7	16
7	Celje	9	3	3	3	11	11	0	12

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.99% likelihood that both Celje and Aluminij will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Celje to win

This prediction indicates that Celje has a 59.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.24 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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