Serie A
Match Analysis
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
W
D
W
L
D
L
Atletico Paranaense
W
D
W
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Paranaense | Coritiba | 2 - 0 | March 22, 2026 |
| Coritiba | Atletico Paranaense | 0 - 0 | October 19, 2025 |
| Atletico Paranaense | Coritiba | 0 - 1 | June 28, 2025 |
| Coritiba | Atletico Paranaense | 2 - 0 | October 1, 2023 |
| Atletico Paranaense | Coritiba | 3 - 2 | May 14, 2023 |
| Atletico Paranaense | Coritiba | 1 - 0 | October 16, 2022 |
Coritiba Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Corinthians | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Sao Paulo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Chapecoense-sc | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Cruzeiro | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | RB Bragantino | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Palmeiras | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Atletico Paranaense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | Botafogo | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | RB Bragantino | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Santos | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Corinthians | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Internacional | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Sao Paulo | 1 - 2 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 20 | +11 | 41 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 34 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.74% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Atletico Paranaense to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Atletico Paranaense has a 37.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.49 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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