Drogheda United vs Derry City Friday 16th October 2026 09:45 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Drogheda United logo Drogheda United View team ›
Oct. 16, 2026 20 hours from now VS
Derry City logo Derry City View team ›

Match Analysis

Drogheda United Derry City
Drogheda United L W L W W L
Derry City W D W D L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Derry City Drogheda United 2 - 0 June 26, 2026
Drogheda United Derry City 1 - 0 May 8, 2026
Derry City Drogheda United 2 - 2 March 20, 2026
Drogheda United Derry City 1 - 1 September 26, 2025
Derry City Drogheda United 3 - 0 June 27, 2025
Drogheda United Derry City 1 - 1 May 16, 2025

Drogheda United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 8, 26 Away Shamrock Rovers 3 - 1 Loss
Oct 1, 26 Away Trabzonspor 0 - 1 Win
Sep 18, 26 Away Bohemians 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 14, 26 Away Shelbourne 1 - 2 Win
Sep 11, 26 Home Sligo Rovers 2 - 0 Win
Aug 28, 26 Home Dundalk 2 - 3 Loss

Derry City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 18, 26 Home Galway United 1 - 0 Win
Sep 14, 26 Away Waterford 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 11, 26 Away Shelbourne 0 - 1 Win
Aug 30, 26 Home Shamrock Rovers 3 - 3 Draw
Aug 21, 26 Away Bohemians 5 - 3 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Home Sligo Rovers 2 - 0 Win

Premier Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45 42 +3 41
9 Drogheda United 33 8 10 15 39 54 -15 34

Predictions

Derry City to win
This prediction indicates that Derry City has a 45.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.25 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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Premier Division

St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne 20 hours from now · 10 p.m. › Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers 20 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. › Bohemians vs Waterford 20 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. ›

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