Empoli vs Palermo Saturday 10th October 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Serie B

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Empoli View team ›

Oct. 10, 2026 3 days, 15 hours ago

2 – 4

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Palermo View team ›

Match Analysis

Empoli Palermo

Empoli L L W L W D

Palermo W D W L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Empoli have had moderate recent form, while Palermo have been in strong form. Palermo also have a clear quality advantage and have dominated recent meetings between the two sides, often with plenty of goals. The model predicts a 52% chance of an away win, which is notably higher than what the market odds suggest. The model also sees a good chance of both teams scoring and for the match to have more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning with the strong attacking form Palermo have shown and the goal-filled history between these sides.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Palermo	Empoli	3 - 2	February 7, 2026
Empoli	Palermo	1 - 3	December 7, 2025
Empoli	Palermo	4 - 0	February 2, 2018
Palermo	Empoli	3 - 3	September 9, 2017
Palermo	Empoli	2 - 1	May 28, 2017
Empoli	Palermo	1 - 0	January 7, 2017

Empoli Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Away	Modena	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 11, 26	Home	Arezzo	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Carrarese	0 - 1	Win
Aug 30, 26	Away	Mantova	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Cremonese	1 - 0	Win
Aug 17, 26	Away	Pisa	1 - 1	Draw

Palermo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Padova	2 - 1	Win
Sep 13, 26	Away	Avellino	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 7, 26	Home	Sampdoria	3 - 1	Win
Sep 3, 26	Away	Mantova	5 - 2	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Away	Arezzo	2 - 3	Win
Aug 23, 26	Home	Juve Stabia	1 - 0	Win

Serie B Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	10	5	+5	13
12	Empoli	5	2	0	3	4	6	-2	6

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.84% likelihood that both Empoli and Palermo will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Palermo to win

This prediction indicates that Palermo has a 51.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.52 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Empoli Form (Last 6 Matches)

Palermo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Serie B Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Palermo to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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