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Excelsior logo Excelsior
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Sparta Rotterdam logo Sparta Rotterdam

Match Analysis

Excelsior Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior W W W W W W
Sparta Rotterdam W L D D L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Sparta Rotterdam Excelsior 2 - 3 May 17, 2026
Excelsior Sparta Rotterdam 0 - 1 September 14, 2025
Sparta Rotterdam Excelsior 4 - 2 February 17, 2024
Excelsior Sparta Rotterdam 2 - 1 October 1, 2023
Excelsior Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 4 March 5, 2023
Sparta Rotterdam Excelsior 1 - 0 January 14, 2023

Excelsior Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 7, 26 Away Cambuur 0 - 4 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away De Graafschap 1 - 5 Win
Jul 24, 26 Away Heracles 3 - 5 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away NAC Breda 1 - 3 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away Dordrecht 0 - 2 Win
Jul 4, 26 Home Cambuur 3 - 2 Win

Sparta Rotterdam Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away Telstar 1 - 3 Win
Aug 9, 26 Home Feyenoord 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home MSV Duisburg 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 28, 26 Home Asteras Tripolis 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Zulte Waregem 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away SV Meppen 3 - 2 Loss

Eredivisie Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Excelsior 1 1 0 0 4 0 +4 3
13 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.61% likelihood that both Excelsior and Sparta Rotterdam will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Excelsior to win
This prediction indicates that Excelsior has a 55.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.09 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Eredivisie

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