FBC Melgar vs FC Cajamarca Sunday 09th August 2026 11:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FBC Melgar FC Cajamarca

FBC Melgar W D D W D W

FC Cajamarca D D D W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Cajamarca	FBC Melgar	3 - 1	February 21, 2026

FBC Melgar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Cienciano	1 - 3	Win
Jun 18, 26	Away	LDU de Quito	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 17, 26	Away	LDU de Quito	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Alianza Atletico	3 - 1	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Juan Pablo II College	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Sport Huancayo	4 - 1	Win

FC Cajamarca Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Home	Juan Pablo II College	2 - 2	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Alianza Lima	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Alianza Atletico	1 - 1	Draw
May 15, 26	Home	Sporting Cristal	3 - 1	Win
May 8, 26	Away	UTC	1 - 2	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Sport Boys	3 - 2	Win

Primera División Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	FBC Melgar	18	9	4	5	32	21	+11	31
15	FC Cajamarca	18	4	6	8	25	30	-5	18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.66% likelihood that both FBC Melgar and FC Cajamarca will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FBC Melgar to win

This prediction indicates that FBC Melgar has a 66.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.37 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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