Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
FC Dallas
Sporting Kansas City
FC Dallas
W
W
D
L
D
W
Sporting Kansas City
D
L
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City | FC Dallas | 2 - 4 | June 15, 2025 |
| FC Dallas | Sporting Kansas City | 2 - 1 | March 30, 2025 |
| FC Dallas | Sporting Kansas City | 2 - 1 | October 20, 2024 |
| Sporting Kansas City | FC Dallas | 3 - 2 | July 8, 2024 |
| Sporting Kansas City | FC Dallas | 2 - 1 | June 1, 2023 |
| FC Dallas | Sporting Kansas City | 2 - 1 | March 19, 2023 |
FC Dallas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Real Salt Lake | 3 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Austin | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Los Angeles Galaxy | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | San Diego | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Portland Timbers | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Colorado Rapids | 1 - 2 | Win |
Sporting Kansas City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | St. Louis City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Colorado Rapids | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Houston Dynamo | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Los Angeles FC | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Minnesota United FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | St. Louis City | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Dallas | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 26 | +8 | 30 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 48 | -30 | 14 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.92% likelihood that both FC Dallas and Sporting Kansas City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.FC Dallas to win
This prediction indicates that FC Dallas has a 65.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.80 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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