FC Nurnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg Saturday 10th October 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

2. Bundesliga

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FC Nurnberg View team ›

Oct. 10, 2026 5 days, 5 hours ago

4 – 4

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VfL Wolfsburg View team ›

Match Analysis

FC Nurnberg VfL Wolfsburg

FC Nurnberg W W W D W D

VfL Wolfsburg W W L D W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, VfL Wolfsburg has had the upper hand in matchups against FC Nurnberg, but the model predicts a home win with a 38% probability. The teams are closely matched in overall quality and both are in strong recent form, which suggests an open and competitive game. The model also sees a high likelihood of both teams scoring (66%) and the match exceeding 1.5 goals (65%) and 2.5 goals (71%), aligning with the view that the game will be dynamic and high-scoring. The market odds reflect similar confidence in a home win and in the match being goals-heavy, but they show slightly less confidence in both teams scoring compared to the model's prediction.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
VfL Wolfsburg	FC Nurnberg	2 - 0	May 4, 2019
FC Nurnberg	VfL Wolfsburg	0 - 2	December 14, 2018
FC Nurnberg	VfL Wolfsburg	0 - 0	December 19, 2017
VfL Wolfsburg	FC Nurnberg	4 - 1	April 12, 2014
FC Nurnberg	VfL Wolfsburg	1 - 1	November 23, 2013
VfL Wolfsburg	FC Nurnberg	2 - 2	March 31, 2013

FC Nurnberg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 2, 26	Home	FC Ingolstadt 04	3 - 1	Win
Sep 19, 26	Away	Karlsruher SC	0 - 1	Win
Sep 11, 26	Home	Hannover 96	2 - 1	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Holstein Kiel	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Home	Arminia Bielefeld	4 - 1	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	FC Viktoria Köln	1 - 1	Draw

VfL Wolfsburg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 1, 26	Home	Havelse	4 - 1	Win
Sep 18, 26	Home	SV Darmstadt 98	5 - 1	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	FC St. Pauli	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Energie Cottbus	4 - 4	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Karlsruher SC	2 - 5	Win
Aug 24, 26	Away	Altglienicke	2 - 2	Draw

2. Bundesliga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	FC Nurnberg	6	5	1	0	16	6	+10	16
5	VfL Wolfsburg	6	3	2	1	15	8	+7	11

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.5% likelihood that both FC Nurnberg and VfL Wolfsburg will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FC Nurnberg or VfL Wolfsburg to win

This prediction indicates that FC Nurnberg has a 37.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.48 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 70.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC 16 hours from now · 7:30 p.m. › Energie Cottbus vs FC Nurnberg 16 hours from now · 7:30 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

FC Nurnberg Form (Last 6 Matches)

VfL Wolfsburg Form (Last 6 Matches)

2. Bundesliga Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

FC Nurnberg or VfL Wolfsburg to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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