FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC Saturday 10th October 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

2. Bundesliga

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FC St. Pauli View team ›

Oct. 11, 2026 4 days, 12 hours ago

2 – 0

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Karlsruher SC View team ›

Match Analysis

FC St. Pauli Karlsruher SC

FC St. Pauli D D W D L L

Karlsruher SC W L L D L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

FC St. Pauli has a modest quality edge over Karlsruher SC, and they have been in better recent form, while Karlsruher SC has struggled. The model predicts a home win with a 57% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a strong chance for both teams to score (61%) and for the match to have more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals (63% and 67% respectively), both of which align with the recent history of their meetings being high-scoring, though the market is less confident about these outcomes.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC St. Pauli	Karlsruher SC	6 - 1	July 20, 2025
Karlsruher SC	FC St. Pauli	2 - 1	April 6, 2024
FC St. Pauli	Karlsruher SC	2 - 1	October 28, 2023
FC St. Pauli	Karlsruher SC	1 - 1	May 28, 2023
Karlsruher SC	FC St. Pauli	4 - 4	November 12, 2022
FC St. Pauli	Karlsruher SC	3 - 1	March 5, 2022

FC St. Pauli Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Home	Borussia Monchengladbach	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 20, 26	Away	Energie Cottbus	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	VfL Wolfsburg	1 - 0	Win
Sep 4, 26	Away	Arminia Bielefeld	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 30, 26	Home	FC Kaiserslautern	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Away	Rot-Weiß Essen	2 - 0	Loss

Karlsruher SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 2, 26	Away	SV Wehen	1 - 2	Win
Sep 19, 26	Home	FC Nurnberg	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Home	Energie Cottbus	0 - 3	Loss
Sep 4, 26	Away	Hannover 96	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Home	VfL Wolfsburg	2 - 5	Loss
Aug 21, 26	Away	Preußen Münster	1 - 2	Win

2. Bundesliga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	FC St. Pauli	6	1	4	1	8	8	0	7
17	Karlsruher SC	6	1	2	3	6	12	-6	5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.32% likelihood that both FC St. Pauli and Karlsruher SC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

FC St. Pauli to win

This prediction indicates that FC St. Pauli has a 57.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.73 %

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC 16 hours from now · 7:30 p.m. › Energie Cottbus vs FC Nurnberg 16 hours from now · 7:30 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

FC St. Pauli Form (Last 6 Matches)

Karlsruher SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

2. Bundesliga Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

FC St. Pauli to win

Over 2.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

2. Bundesliga

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