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Premier League

Aug. 23, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

FK Tobol Kostanay Zhenys
FK Tobol Kostanay L L D W D D
Zhenys D L D W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Zhenys FK Tobol Kostanay 1 - 0 May 3, 2026
FK Tobol Kostanay Zhenys 2 - 2 June 29, 2025
Zhenys FK Tobol Kostanay 0 - 0 March 8, 2025
Zhenys FK Tobol Kostanay 2 - 1 October 4, 2024
FK Tobol Kostanay Zhenys 1 - 1 April 27, 2024

FK Tobol Kostanay Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 6, 26 Away FK Partizan 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Away Ordabasy 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 30, 26 Home Panevėžys 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Home Atyrau 1 - 0 Win
Jul 23, 26 Away Panevėžys 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away Kyzyl-Zhar 1 - 1 Draw

Zhenys Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Home Yelimay Semey 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Away Kaspiy 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Ulytau 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Away Irtysh 0 - 1 Win
Jul 3, 26 Away FC Astana 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 28, 26 Home FC Astana 2 - 2 Draw

Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Zhenys 20 5 8 7 17 23 -6 23
11 FK Tobol Kostanay 20 6 4 10 21 28 -7 22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.75% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
FK Tobol Kostanay to win
This prediction indicates that FK Tobol Kostanay has a 45.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.68 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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