Yelimay Semey vs Irtysh Sunday 09th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Yelimay Semey Irtysh

Yelimay Semey L D D W W W

Irtysh W L D L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Irtysh	Yelimay Semey	2 - 2	May 16, 2026

Yelimay Semey Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 19, 26	Away	Ordabasy	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 16, 26	Home	Alashkert	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 9, 26	Away	Alashkert	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Kyzyl-Zhar	0 - 1	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Kyzyl-Zhar	2 - 0	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	Atyrau	1 - 2	Win

Irtysh Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Ulytau	1 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Zhenys	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Away	Kaisar	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 28, 26	Home	Kaisar	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Zhenys	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Away	FC Astana	2 - 0	Loss

Premier League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Yelimay Semey	17	8	5	4	26	21	+5	29
16	Irtysh	17	1	8	8	14	22	-8	11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.55% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Yelimay Semey to win

This prediction indicates that Yelimay Semey has a 61.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.32 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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