Fluminense vs Bahia Sunday 12th July 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Fluminense Bahia

Fluminense D W L W W D

Bahia W W L D L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bahia	Fluminense	1 - 1	February 5, 2026
Fluminense	Bahia	2 - 0	December 7, 2025
Bahia	Fluminense	3 - 3	August 10, 2025
Fluminense	Bahia	1 - 0	August 4, 2024
Bahia	Fluminense	2 - 1	April 17, 2024
Bahia	Fluminense	1 - 0	October 31, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Away	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Draw
May 28, 26	Home	Real Esppor Club	3 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Mirassol	1 - 0	Loss
May 19, 26	Home	Bolívar	2 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Vitoria	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Atletico Torque	4 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Botafogo	2 - 1	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Coritiba	3 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Gremio	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Sao Paulo	2 - 2	Draw

This prediction indicates that Fluminense has a 47.37% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.22 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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