Serie A
Match Analysis
Vitoria
Bahia
Vitoria
L
L
D
W
W
W
Bahia
D
D
D
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Vitoria | 1 - 1 | March 11, 2026 |
| Vitoria | Bahia | 2 - 1 | October 17, 2025 |
| Bahia | Vitoria | 2 - 1 | May 18, 2025 |
| Bahia | Vitoria | 2 - 0 | August 11, 2024 |
| Vitoria | Bahia | 2 - 2 | April 21, 2024 |
| Bahia | Vitoria | 2 - 1 | March 21, 2024 |
Vitoria Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Palmeiras | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | remo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Botafogo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Fortaleza EC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 3, 26 | Away | Fortaleza EC | 1 - 2 | Win |
Bahia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Fluminense | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Corinthians | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Atletico-MG | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Chapecoense-sc | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Fluminense | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Atletico Torque | 4 - 1 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bahia | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 25 | +4 | 32 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 |
Predictions
Vitoria to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Vitoria has a 34.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.48 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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