Forest Green vs Hartlepool Saturday 10th October 2026 07:30 PM football predictions.

National League

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Forest Green View team ›

Oct. 10, 2026 3 days, 11 hours ago

2 – 4

Full Time

Hartlepool View team ›

Match Analysis

Forest Green Hartlepool

Forest Green D D L D W W

Hartlepool L L L L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Forest Green is seen as the stronger side, with a clear quality gap in their favor and a recent history of dominating Hartlepool. The model predicts a home win with a 58% probability, which aligns closely with the market odds that also favor Forest Green. Additionally, the model suggests there’s a good chance both teams will score and that the game will have more than one or two goals, views that are somewhat more optimistic than what the current market odds imply.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Hartlepool	Forest Green	2 - 1	April 18, 2026
Forest Green	Hartlepool	1 - 0	September 6, 2025
Hartlepool	Forest Green	1 - 1	May 5, 2025
Forest Green	Hartlepool	1 - 0	September 28, 2024
Forest Green	Hartlepool	1 - 1	April 9, 2022
Hartlepool	Forest Green	1 - 3	November 20, 2021

Forest Green Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 29, 26	Home	Wealdstone	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Away	Sutton Utd	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 19, 26	Home	Boston United	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 15, 26	Away	Carlisle	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	Gateshead	4 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	AFC Hornchurch	0 - 1	Win

Hartlepool Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Home	Tamworth	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 29, 26	Home	Harrogate Town	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 26, 26	Away	Scunthorpe	4 - 1	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Home	Worthing	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 16, 26	Away	Altrincham	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 11, 26	Away	Kidderminster Harriers	2 - 0	Loss

National League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
16	Forest Green	11	4	3	4	17	18	-1	15
22	Hartlepool	12	3	0	9	8	17	-9	9

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.41% likelihood that both Forest Green and Hartlepool will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Forest Green to win

This prediction indicates that Forest Green has a 57.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.39 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Forest Green Form (Last 6 Matches)

Hartlepool Form (Last 6 Matches)

National League Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Forest Green to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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