Forli vs Livorno Sunday 11th October 2026 06:30 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
Serie C - Girone B logo

Serie C - Girone B

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Oct. 11, 2026 2 days, 13 hours ago
1 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Forli Livorno
Forli L D D D W L
Livorno L W D W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The two sides are closely matched in overall quality, with neither team showing a clear advantage. The model predicts a home win with a 43% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply for a Forli victory. Additionally, the model sees a 50% chance that both teams will score and a 48% chance the match will finish with under 1.5 goals, indicating it expects a tight, potentially low-scoring contest.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Forli Livorno 1 - 1 March 8, 2026
Livorno Forli 2 - 3 November 2, 2025

Forli Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 3, 26 Away Vado 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 27, 26 Away Ostia Mare 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 19, 26 Home Torres 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 16, 26 Away Pineto 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 12, 26 Home Vis Pesaro 2 - 1 Win
Sep 5, 26 Away Latina 2 - 0 Loss

Livorno Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 3, 26 Home Pescara 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 26, 26 Home Pianese 3 - 2 Win
Sep 21, 26 Away Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 16, 26 Home Vado 3 - 2 Win
Sep 12, 26 Away Spezia 2 - 0 Loss
Sep 6, 26 Home Atalanta II 1 - 0 Win

Serie C - Girone B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Livorno 8 4 2 2 10 9 +1 14
11 Forli 8 2 4 2 13 12 +1 10

Predictions

Forli to win
This prediction indicates that Forli has a 42.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.69 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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