FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Saturday 10th October 2026 04:30 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
Bundesliga logo

Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 logo FSV Mainz 05
Oct. 10, 2026 14 hours from now VS
Bayer Leverkusen logo Bayer Leverkusen

Match Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 Bayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05 W W L W D W
Bayer Leverkusen W W D W L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Bayer Leverkusen FSV Mainz 05 1 - 1 February 28, 2026
FSV Mainz 05 Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 4 October 18, 2025
FSV Mainz 05 Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 2 May 17, 2025
Bayer Leverkusen FSV Mainz 05 1 - 0 January 14, 2025
Bayer Leverkusen FSV Mainz 05 2 - 1 February 23, 2024
FSV Mainz 05 Bayer Leverkusen 0 - 3 September 30, 2023

FSV Mainz 05 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 3, 26 Away Waldhof Mannheim 0 - 3 Win
Sep 19, 26 Away Borussia Monchengladbach 3 - 4 Win
Sep 12, 26 Home Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 3 Loss
Sep 6, 26 Away Hamburger SV 0 - 5 Win
Aug 29, 26 Home SC Paderborn 07 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 23, 26 Away Krieschow 0 - 9 Win

Bayer Leverkusen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 20, 26 Home RB Leipzig 2 - 0 Win
Sep 16, 26 Home Celje 2 - 0 Win
Sep 12, 26 Away FC Augsburg 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 5, 26 Home Union Berlin 4 - 0 Win
Aug 29, 26 Away SV Elversberg 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away SV Wehen 0 - 4 Win

Bundesliga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 FSV Mainz 05 4 2 1 1 10 6 +4 7
10 Bayer Leverkusen 3 1 1 1 8 5 +3 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.88% likelihood that both FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Bayer Leverkusen to win
This prediction indicates that Bayer Leverkusen has a 46.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.92 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Top Picks
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Odds Comparison
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Bundesliga

RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt 17 hours from now · 7:30 p.m. › FC Augsburg vs Bayern München 14 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. › SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart 14 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. › Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg 14 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. › 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV 14 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. ›