Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town Tuesday 13th October 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Non League Premier - Northern

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Gainsborough Trinity View team ›

Oct. 13, 2026 9 hours ago

3 – 1

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Ilkeston Town View team ›

Match Analysis

Gainsborough Trinity Ilkeston Town

Gainsborough Trinity W W L W D L

Ilkeston Town L L L L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, matches between Gainsborough Trinity and Ilkeston Town have often ended in draws and have usually been low-scoring affairs. The model predicts a home win with a 62% probability, reflecting the clear quality gap favoring Gainsborough Trinity and their strong recent form compared to Ilkeston Town's poor form; however, this confidence is somewhat higher than what the market odds imply. The model also sees a slight edge toward "over" for both the 1.5 and 2.5 goals lines, though these align fairly closely with the market view.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Gainsborough Trinity	Ilkeston Town	0 - 0	December 20, 2025
Ilkeston Town	Gainsborough Trinity	0 - 1	August 12, 2025
Gainsborough Trinity	Ilkeston Town	0 - 0	March 4, 2025
Ilkeston Town	Gainsborough Trinity	2 - 2	August 10, 2024
Gainsborough Trinity	Ilkeston Town	0 - 1	December 9, 2023
Ilkeston Town	Gainsborough Trinity	4 - 0	August 15, 2023

Gainsborough Trinity Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Away	AFC Emley	1 - 2	Win
Oct 6, 26	Away	Whitby Town	2 - 6	Win
Oct 3, 26	Home	Anstey Nomads	2 - 3	Loss
Sep 22, 26	Home	Leamington	3 - 0	Win
Sep 19, 26	Away	Leamington	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	Avro	0 - 2	Loss

Ilkeston Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Redcar Athletic	0 - 5	Loss
Oct 6, 26	Home	Guiseley AFC	0 - 2	Loss
Oct 3, 26	Away	Lancaster City	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 29, 26	Home	Rylands	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Away	Workington	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Leamington	3 - 1	Loss

Non League Premier - Northern Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Gainsborough Trinity	11	6	1	4	22	15	+7	19
21	Ilkeston Town	13	2	1	10	7	31	-24	7

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Gainsborough Trinity to win

This prediction indicates that Gainsborough Trinity has a 62.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.48 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Gainsborough Trinity Form (Last 6 Matches)

Ilkeston Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Non League Premier - Northern Table

Predictions

Gainsborough Trinity to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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