Gobelins vs SC Bastia Saturday 26th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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National 1

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Gobelins SC Bastia
Gobelins D D W L W D
SC Bastia L W L W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Gobelins Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Aubagne 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Away Thionville Lusitanos 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 20, 26 Home Valenciennes 2 - 1 Win
Aug 14, 26 Away Villefranche 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Home Quevilly 1 - 0 Win
Jul 28, 26 Away Creteil 2 - 2 Draw

SC Bastia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Amiens 0 - 3 Loss
Aug 27, 26 Away Caen 0 - 1 Win
Aug 20, 26 Home Versailles 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Away Aubagne 0 - 1 Win
Aug 7, 26 Home Le Puy Foot 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 24, 26 Away Aubagne 1 - 1 Draw

National 1 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Gobelins 5 2 2 1 4 4 0 8
11 SC Bastia 5 2 0 3 4 8 -4 6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.16% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Gobelins to win
This prediction indicates that Gobelins has a 41.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.69 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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