Gremio vs Cruzeiro Sunday 12th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Gremio Cruzeiro

Gremio L W L D W W

Cruzeiro W D W W D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cruzeiro	Gremio	2 - 0	April 18, 2026
Gremio	Cruzeiro	0 - 1	November 5, 2025
Cruzeiro	Gremio	4 - 1	July 13, 2025
Cruzeiro	Gremio	1 - 1	November 28, 2024
Gremio	Cruzeiro	0 - 2	July 10, 2024
Gremio	Cruzeiro	3 - 0	August 27, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Cascavel	1 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Corinthians	1 - 3	Loss
May 26, 26	Home	Atletico Torque	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Santos	3 - 2	Win
May 21, 26	Home	Palestino	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Defensor Sporting	2 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Fluminense	1 - 1	Draw
May 29, 26	Home	Barcelona SC	4 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Chapecoense-sc	2 - 1	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Cruzeiro has a 37.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.60 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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