Serie A
Match Analysis
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
L
L
W
L
D
L
Vasco DA Gama
L
W
L
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco DA Gama | Gremio | 2 - 1 | March 22, 2026 |
| Gremio | Vasco DA Gama | 2 - 0 | November 20, 2025 |
| Vasco DA Gama | Gremio | 1 - 1 | July 19, 2025 |
| Gremio | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 0 | July 28, 2024 |
| Vasco DA Gama | Gremio | 2 - 1 | April 14, 2024 |
| Gremio | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 0 | December 3, 2023 |
Gremio Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | RB Bragantino | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Atletico-MG | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Sao Paulo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Bolívar | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Fluminense | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Bolívar | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Vasco DA Gama Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Palmeiras | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Olimpia | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Santos | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Olimpia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Bahia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Independiente Medellin | 1 - 0 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 25 |
| 19 | Vasco DA Gama | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 22 |
Predictions
Gremio to win
This prediction indicates that Gremio has a 43.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.84 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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