National League
Match Analysis
Harrogate Town
AFC Hornchurch
Harrogate Town
L
W
W
W
L
D
AFC Hornchurch
L
L
L
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Harrogate Town Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Home | AFC Fylde | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Tamworth | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Scunthorpe | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Gateshead | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Aldershot Town | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Barrow | 2 - 2 | Draw |
AFC Hornchurch Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Away | Worthing | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | FC Halifax Town | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Forest Green | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Boston United | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Woking | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Carlisle | 4 - 1 | Loss |
National League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Harrogate Town | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 16 |
| 11 | AFC Hornchurch | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.88% likelihood that both Harrogate Town and AFC Hornchurch will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Harrogate Town to win
This prediction indicates that Harrogate Town has a 45.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.76 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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