Hartlepool vs Tamworth Saturday 03rd October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League

Hartlepool

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Tamworth

Match Analysis

Hartlepool Tamworth

Hartlepool L L W L L L

Tamworth L L D L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tamworth	Hartlepool	1 - 1	February 7, 2026
Hartlepool	Tamworth	1 - 1	September 27, 2025
Hartlepool	Tamworth	2 - 2	February 11, 2025
Tamworth	Hartlepool	0 - 1	August 20, 2024

Hartlepool Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 16, 26	Away	Altrincham	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 11, 26	Away	Kidderminster Harriers	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Woking	1 - 0	Win
Sep 1, 26	Away	FC Halifax Town	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Home	Eastleigh	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Sutton Utd	2 - 1	Loss

Tamworth Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 15, 26	Away	Southend	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Away	Harrogate Town	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Boston United	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 31, 26	Away	Yeovil Town	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Home	Worthing	3 - 2	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	FC Halifax Town	4 - 1	Loss

National League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
16	Hartlepool	8	3	0	5	6	8	-2	9
22	Tamworth	8	1	2	5	14	22	-8	5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.84% likelihood that both Hartlepool and Tamworth will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Hartlepool to win

This prediction indicates that Hartlepool has a 47.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.90 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

National League

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Hartlepool Form (Last 6 Matches)

Tamworth Form (Last 6 Matches)

National League Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Hartlepool to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

National League

Trending