Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda Friday 16th October 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Eerste Divisie

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Helmond Sport View team ›

Oct. 16, 2026 19 hours from now VS

NAC Breda View team ›

Match Analysis

Helmond Sport NAC Breda

Helmond Sport L D L L W W

NAC Breda W D W W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Helmond Sport	NAC Breda	1 - 0	January 26, 2024
NAC Breda	Helmond Sport	1 - 1	October 27, 2023
Helmond Sport	NAC Breda	2 - 2	January 13, 2023
NAC Breda	Helmond Sport	1 - 0	August 5, 2022
Helmond Sport	NAC Breda	4 - 0	March 18, 2022
NAC Breda	Helmond Sport	1 - 0	November 27, 2021

Helmond Sport Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 9, 26	Away	FC OSS	3 - 1	Loss
Oct 2, 26	Home	Heracles	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Away	MVV	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 18, 26	Away	Den Bosch	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 11, 26	Home	Jong PSV	3 - 1	Win
Sep 4, 26	Home	VVV Venlo	4 - 2	Win

NAC Breda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 9, 26	Home	MVV	1 - 0	Win
Oct 3, 26	Away	Vitesse	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Home	FC Eindhoven	4 - 2	Win
Sep 20, 26	Away	De Graafschap	1 - 2	Win
Sep 11, 26	Home	Jong Utrecht	2 - 3	Loss
Sep 4, 26	Away	Waalwijk	4 - 2	Loss

Eerste Divisie Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	NAC Breda	9	4	2	3	19	19	0	14
14	Helmond Sport	9	2	3	4	15	16	-1	9

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.3% likelihood that both Helmond Sport and NAC Breda will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

NAC Breda to win

This prediction indicates that NAC Breda has a 65.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.42 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 68.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 70.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Eerste Divisie

VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ 19 hours from now · 9 p.m. › FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse 19 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Den Bosch vs FC OSS 19 hours from now · 9 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Helmond Sport Form (Last 6 Matches)

NAC Breda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Eerste Divisie Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

NAC Breda to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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