Hereford vs Spennymoor Town Saturday 05th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League - North

Hereford

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Spennymoor Town

Match Analysis

Hereford Spennymoor Town

Hereford W W L W D L

Spennymoor Town L W D W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Hereford	Spennymoor Town	1 - 2	March 24, 2026
Spennymoor Town	Hereford	2 - 0	August 9, 2025
Hereford	Spennymoor Town	0 - 2	February 8, 2025
Spennymoor Town	Hereford	0 - 0	September 7, 2024
Hereford	Spennymoor Town	2 - 1	December 23, 2023
Spennymoor Town	Hereford	2 - 0	September 9, 2023

Hereford Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 18, 26	Home	Radcliffe	3 - 0	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Marine	1 - 0	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	Buxton	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Away	Bromsgrove Sporting	0 - 1	Win
Jul 28, 26	Home	Shrewsbury	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Home	Solihull Moors	0 - 3	Loss

Spennymoor Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 18, 26	Away	Scarborough Athletic	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Merthyr Town	2 - 1	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	Morecambe	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Home	Gateshead	2 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	FC Halifax Town	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Hartlepool	1 - 2	Loss

National League - North Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Spennymoor Town	2	1	1	0	3	2	+1	4
15	Hereford	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3

Predictions

Hereford to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Hereford has a 36.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.59 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National League - North

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Hereford Form (Last 6 Matches)

Spennymoor Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

National League - North Table

Predictions

Hereford to win or Draw

Over 1.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

National League - North

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