Chester vs Spalding United Saturday 22nd August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League - North

Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Chester Spalding United

Chester D W W L W W

Spalding United D L W W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Crewe	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 28, 26	Away	Nantwich Town	0 - 3	Win
Jul 24, 26	Away	Hyde United	0 - 1	Win
Jul 21, 26	Home	Stoke City	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Warrington Town	0 - 2	Win
Jul 14, 26	Home	Fleetwood Town	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Scunthorpe	2 - 2	Draw
Oct 11, 25	Away	South Shields	4 - 0	Loss
Sep 27, 25	Home	Dagenham & Redbridge	2 - 1	Win
Sep 13, 25	Home	Alfreton Town	3 - 0	Win
Aug 30, 25	Away	Ilkeston Town	1 - 2	Win
Aug 2, 25	Away	King's Lynn Town	0 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Spalding United	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Chester	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Chester has a 50.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.26 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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