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National League - North

Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Southport Bedford Town
Southport D W W L W L
Bedford Town L W W W D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Bedford Town Southport 2 - 3 January 17, 2026
Southport Bedford Town 3 - 1 August 16, 2025

Southport Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 31, 26 Home Wigan 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Warrington Town 2 - 3 Win
Jul 24, 26 Home United of Manchester 2 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Fleetwood Town 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home AFC Telford United 2 - 0 Win
Apr 21, 26 Away Macclesfield 2 - 1 Loss

Bedford Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Away Kettering Town 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Walton & Hersham 2 - 0 Win
Jul 14, 26 Home Biggleswade 2 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home Berkhamsted 2 - 0 Win
Jul 7, 26 Home Aldershot Town 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home Scarborough Athletic 1 - 1 Draw

National League - North Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Bedford Town None None None None None None None None
None Southport None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.13% likelihood that both Southport and Bedford Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Southport to win
This prediction indicates that Southport has a 41.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.32 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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