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National League - North

Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Chorley Scarborough Athletic
Chorley L L D L L W
Scarborough Athletic L W L L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Scarborough Athletic Chorley 0 - 0 March 28, 2026
Chorley Scarborough Athletic 2 - 2 August 19, 2025
Scarborough Athletic Chorley 2 - 3 January 28, 2025
Chorley Scarborough Athletic 1 - 2 August 20, 2024
Chorley Scarborough Athletic 3 - 0 March 16, 2024
Scarborough Athletic Chorley 1 - 1 November 7, 2023

Chorley Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 28, 26 Away Trafford 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Accrington ST 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Home Altrincham 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Home Bury 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Away Bamber Bridge 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home Worksop Town 2 - 1 Win

Scarborough Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Away Harrogate Town 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 28, 26 Home Hull City U21 1 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Barnsley 0 - 2 Loss
Apr 28, 26 Away Buxton 4 - 2 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Away Bedford Town 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 18, 26 Home Merthyr Town 2 - 1 Win

National League - North Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Scarborough Athletic None None None None None None None None
None Chorley None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Scarborough Athletic to win
This prediction indicates that Scarborough Athletic has a 45.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.61 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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