Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Saturday 10th October 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

2. Bundesliga

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Hertha BSC View team ›

Oct. 11, 2026 4 days, 12 hours ago

2 – 1

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SpVgg Greuther Fürth View team ›

Match Analysis

Hertha BSC SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Hertha BSC D W W W W W

SpVgg Greuther Fürth L D D L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Hertha BSC has a clear quality gap in their favor over SpVgg Greuther Fürth, and this is backed up by Hertha's strong recent form compared to Fürth's poor form. The model predicts a home win with a 61% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a high likelihood of both teams scoring (65%) and for the match to have more than 1.5 goals (67%), both of which are flagged as sure tips and align with the market's inclination towards these outcomes.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Hertha BSC	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2 - 1	May 10, 2026
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	Hertha BSC	3 - 3	December 12, 2025
Hertha BSC	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1 - 0	May 4, 2025
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	Hertha BSC	2 - 1	December 7, 2024
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	Hertha BSC	1 - 2	February 11, 2024
Hertha BSC	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	5 - 0	August 26, 2023

Hertha BSC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 2, 26	Away	FC Augsburg	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 29, 26	Away	Hertha Zehlendorf	1 - 3	Win
Sep 19, 26	Away	Dynamo Dresden	1 - 2	Win
Sep 13, 26	Away	VfL Osnabruck	1 - 3	Win
Sep 6, 26	Home	1. FC Magdeburg	2 - 1	Win
Aug 28, 26	Away	Eintracht Braunschweig	3 - 5	Win

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 1, 26	Away	VfB Stuttgart	5 - 0	Loss
Sep 18, 26	Home	1. FC Magdeburg	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Away	VfL Bochum	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Home	FC Heidenheim	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	Energie Cottbus	3 - 4	Win
Aug 23, 26	Home	VfL Bochum	1 - 2	Loss

2. Bundesliga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	6	6	0	0	17	7	+10	18
14	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	6	1	3	2	9	11	-2	6

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.37% likelihood that both Hertha BSC and SpVgg Greuther Fürth will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Hertha BSC to win

This prediction indicates that Hertha BSC has a 60.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.81 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 73.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC 16 hours from now · 7:30 p.m. › Energie Cottbus vs FC Nurnberg 16 hours from now · 7:30 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Hertha BSC Form (Last 6 Matches)

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Form (Last 6 Matches)

2. Bundesliga Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Hertha BSC to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

2. Bundesliga

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